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Every quarter, our specialists interpret trends in the global economy and financial markets. Read their views on the third quarter of 2019.
Macroeconomic environment
- The significant weakness of the manufacturing sector worldwide is partially offset by robust service-sector activities.
- Economic deceleration could intensify in the event of business failures in the corporate sector, where the level of debt has increased sharply in recent years..
- As a result of the economic slowdown, the central banks are paving the way for a new round of monetary easing measures.
Financial markets
- The Federal Reserve’s about-turn has led to strong returns for most of the major assets in the first half.
- The returns offered by the main asset classes in the coming years could be extremely low.
- In an environment of negative interest rates, the price of gold should continue to rise.
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